12/11/23

Understanding 2024 Voters: Battleground Races

Qualitative and quantitative polling one year out is not about the horse-race numbers per se. Rather, these polls give us a window into some of the underlying trends and dynamics. This research, consisting of web dials of videos of Presidential candidates in various settings; focus groups among Republican factions; and the large battleground survey, is the most comprehensive look at the forces that will shape 2024 as we know them today.

This month, we’ll take an in-depth view of current voter sentiment and what is driving voter choices one year before the 2024 elections and outlines the issues President Biden and congressional Democrats face going into 2024. Trump and the Republicans have some daunting challenges as well, including a fractured base. Dual haters and third-party candidates are important, and how they split could be determinative.

Stan Greenberg of Democracy Corps and Page Gardner reviewed the eye-opening findings and focused on the results of the collaborative PSG Consulting and Democracy Corps survey in the battleground Presidential, Senate and Congressional geographies.

Watch the Biden/Trump Web Dials Video
Watch the DeSantis/Haley Web Dials Video

Download the Presentation Slides

Download the Complete Results Slides

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Money, Mechanics, and Media: The Infrastructure of Elections